Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.181759 0.216826 0.256238 0.303727 0.359304 0.422192 0.498654
2025-03-30 0.131765 0.177079 0.233738 0.309404 0.407378 0.529480 0.692655
2025-04-06 0.100762 0.148286 0.212692 0.305565 0.435108 0.608282 0.855972
2025-04-13 0.080414 0.127737 0.196336 0.301741 0.457998 0.679102 1.013081
2025-04-20 0.069162 0.117364 0.191399 0.311480 0.498892 0.777013 1.216628
2025-04-27 0.064107 0.115233 0.197797 0.338096 0.566904 0.920456 1.501114
2025-05-04 0.057368 0.108915 0.196198 0.351146 0.614423 1.036762 1.755319
2025-05-11 0.048997 0.098158 0.185348 0.346855 0.632360 1.107127 1.942600
2025-05-18 0.040867 0.086310 0.170640 0.333438 0.632448 1.147146 2.082577
2025-05-25 0.033844 0.075266 0.155603 0.317023 0.624620 1.171900 2.197598
2025-06-01 0.030589 0.071195 0.153061 0.323394 0.658517 1.272047 2.452721
2025-06-08 0.026055 0.063602 0.142415 0.312441 0.658170 1.309949 2.598610
2025-06-15 0.023665 0.060494 0.140864 0.320373 0.697041 1.427191 2.908209
2025-06-22 0.021291 0.057014 0.138073 0.325504 0.731275 1.539802 3.221674
2025-06-29 0.018574 0.052163 0.131471 0.321407 0.745768 1.615052 3.469519
2025-07-06 0.016259 0.047838 0.125342 0.317393 0.759718 1.690193 3.723720
2025-07-13 0.015077 0.046244 0.125416 0.327599 0.805899 1.835770 4.134556
2025-07-20 0.014933 0.047461 0.132553 0.355492 0.894978 2.079653 4.771364
2025-07-27 0.014052 0.046417 0.133809 0.369165 0.952695 2.261262 5.291244
2025-08-03 0.012450 0.042922 0.128134 0.364668 0.966913 2.348723 5.614811
2025-08-10 0.010678 0.038511 0.119258 0.350611 0.956199 2.379093 5.814669
2025-08-17 0.009040 0.034142 0.109743 0.333409 0.935444 2.384147 5.957396
2025-08-24 0.008388 0.032897 0.108998 0.340085 0.976297 2.536972 6.452930